Against the spread
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
Dolphin Drought
Looking at teams stock-piled with talent such as the packers, cowboys, vikings, and steelers. Turnover on staff and a revolving door of schemes. Starting from the top ownership changing hands, no direction from a football standpoint. Dan Marino being the ultimate politician thinks better of tarnishing his good name in Miami steps down as V.P. of football operations in one day. Nick Saban also took the back door exit stage left. Parcells name hijacks the team and everyone acted as if the Messiah had returned when his Dallas team still has done nothing. It's all about talent evaluation. Let coaches coach. Shot ourselves in the foot a numerous number of times. Without a QB since Marino retired, the team hasn;t even drafted one in the first round. Alternate routes led us to Jay Fiedler, trading a second round pick for A.J. Feely, Ray Lucas, and etc; The problem with this team isn't Chad Henne it was an inferior supporting cast. Trading for Brandon Marshall best move they've done in centuries. Davone Bess being the only other player on this offense that can consistently get open. Fasano was fine til he lost confidence against the Falcons in the opener with those 2 costly fumbles, hasn't been the same since. The tight end is the Qb's security blanket to move the chains and clear space over the middle so it's harder to double outside. Numerous great tight ends out there, we are in desperate need of one. Personnel for 3-4 is pivotal and our front 7 is still not where it needs to be to run this scheme. Solai emerged this year due to Jason Ferguson's suspension and subsequent retirement. Furthermore, the Dolphins have been torched by tight ends week in and week out. The Dansby signing was great, but missed out on Antrel Rolle by 5 million to the N.Y. Giants. Leadership on this defense is coming with strong play from Vontae Davis the lone bright spot on the secondary. Defense needs to create takeaways and we lack the playmakers to compete. First order of business get rid of Ronnie and Ricky. Rb by comittee will be just fine til we get a home-run threat like Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson, there always gems at the Rb position. At our draft position we're looking at twin brother to Marcus Pouncey he solidified and stabilized a horrific Steeler offensive line. Second round pick vacated due to the trade for Marshall, so i would definetely try to trade down like they did a year ago to recoup that second round pick and with plenty of talent in the first round this is the route I'd go, but they still need a dance partner. Team needs-RB,LB, DT,TE,WR, OG or C. Via the draft or free agency the dolphins don't have enough bandaids to fill all their needs so enjoy the Pats, and Jets atop the division next year and the Bills will definetely creep up the rearview with their drafting of a Franchise Qb, already having RB in place with C.J. Spiller, Stevie Johnson and Lee Evans at WR and Shawn Nelson at TE.
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
Out for # 1
It seems that everyone is looking for a quick fix, and end up taking a couple steps backwards. Focus on your foundation and you'll appreciate what you've built from the ground up. For example: I started online gambling for the first time last year with a measley 25 bucks netted a little over 3 grand in 4 months. The first thing to do when betting is keep your home team out of it. Bettors know this team inside out which is why they are more comfortable betting with or against. Do your homework, just watch for the first 2 weeks and write down the picks you would have selected. Compare picks with a buddy. Second tip avoid the spotlight games such as Monday night, Sunday night, Superbowl etc; The reason for this is your options have dwindled and your choosing from 2 lesser evils instead of having a plethora of choices. Gambling has made me paranoid and I have chosen to stay away from the game the public likes too much. For example: Colts vs. Saints I took the Moneyline -200 for 500 bucks and got spanked. Third tip never bet your bankroll on any one game. If your bank is a grand you shouldn't commit over 100 bucks on any game thats what Vegas banks on us getting greedy and cleans Joe Blow out. Slow and steady for a reason. Fourth tip embrace the moneyline not sure on a spread but like a team just to win, then moneyline is for you. Profit is less but so is the risk I suggest this for bettors with larger bankrolls it enables you to risk a larger amount with a little less trepidation of covering a spread instead just taking home teams that Vegas already thought would win. The spread is set for action with the N.F.L. you get conficting messages about a line. For example in these playoffs the trend was home teams not even getting the full three ( -3 ) Meaning the public would choose the home team would cover because they'd only have to win by 3 which is the standard. Subsequently tried to flip it on the public on the Superbowl. Packers -2.5 was what the line closed at hoping the public would bet the Steelers because all the other underdogs won their game straight up against the spread. Vegas sold all but 1% of it's action off to it's conglamorates to save losing the shirt off their backs when all the money came in on Green Bay and the Over 45. I did not place a wager this Super Sunday instead I made my money on the Heat and Clippers game that same afternoon. The key to winning consistently is picking your spots why bet on a game that can go either way on a neutral site with so many unknowns. Put it aside for games you've done your research and spotted some trends.
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